← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.55+1.60vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.73vs Predicted
-
3California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+3.61vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California0.64+2.99vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.53-0.40vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley-0.55+4.58vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.72-0.24vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-0.85vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-0.43vs Predicted
-
10Western Washington University-0.13-0.72vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles0.12-2.49vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-1.60+0.26vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-1.53-0.85vs Predicted
-
15San Diego State University-0.87-3.59vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-1.07-3.86vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-0.90-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.6Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
-
2.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
-
6.61California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.1%1st Place
-
6.99University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
-
4.6University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
-
10.58University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
-
6.76University of Washington0.720.1%1st Place
-
7.15University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
-
8.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.0%1st Place
-
9.28Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
-
8.51University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
-
13.26University of California at Davis-1.600.0%1st Place
-
13.15University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
-
11.41San Diego State University-0.870.0%1st Place
-
12.14University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
-
11.66Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 31.3% | 24.4% | 19.8% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 30.0% | 22.7% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Trey Summers | 9.8% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 5.0% |
| Oliver Nairn | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Sanchita Pant | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Jason Yang | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 32.2% |
| Brayden Money | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 27.8% |
| Charlotte Hinman | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 8.6% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 13.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.