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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.64+3.85vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.53+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.12+3.36vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.72+0.66vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.74-0.41vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.90+3.22vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-0.55+1.22vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.13-0.89vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-2.60vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-4.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.53-0.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.07-2.36vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.60-1.90vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-2.04-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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2.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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6.85University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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4.62University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Washington0.720.0%1st Place
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6.59California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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11.22Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.22University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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9.11Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.0%1st Place
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7.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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12.86University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.64University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.1University of California at Davis-1.600.0%1st Place
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13.98San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 32.0% | 25.2% | 19.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 29.8% | 23.3% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Trey Summers | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Nairn | 4.7% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 5.4% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Jack Phibbs | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 21.0% | 19.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 8.6% |
| Jason Yang | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 22.9% | 22.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.