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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.53+3.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.29vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+2.63vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.55+5.29vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.66+0.81vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.12+1.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-1.01vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-0.66vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.64-3.16vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.13-1.96vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.90-0.72vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.60+0.01vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.53-1.23vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-2.04-0.98vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.07-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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2.64Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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2.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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6.63California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.1%1st Place
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10.29University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Washington0.660.0%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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8.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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9.04Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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11.28Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.01University of California at Davis-1.600.0%1st Place
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12.77University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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14.02San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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11.78University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Summers | 12.1% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 30.5% | 25.7% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 28.4% | 25.9% | 18.0% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Owen Thomas | 4.1% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 6.1% |
| Jason Yang | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 20.9% | 21.0% |
| Brayden Money | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 20.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 21.3% | 41.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.