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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+1.57vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.66+3.73vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64+2.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.55+5.32vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.53-1.40vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.12+1.42vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09+0.29vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.90+2.21vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.74-3.45vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.13-1.97vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-4.93vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.07-1.29vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.60-1.02vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.53-2.07vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-2.04-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Stanford University2.550.3%1st Place
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2.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.3%1st Place
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6.73University of Washington0.660.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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10.32University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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8.42University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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8.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.0%1st Place
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11.21Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.55California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.0%1st Place
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9.03Western Washington University-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.07University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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11.71University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.98University of California at Davis-1.600.0%1st Place
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12.93University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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13.99San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 31.5% | 24.5% | 20.8% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 30.0% | 24.1% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Thomas | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Trey Summers | 10.8% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jack Phibbs | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 5.1% |
| Ben Louttit | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Blakemore | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 8.7% |
| Jason Yang | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 19.4% | 21.9% |
| Brayden Money | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 20.6% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 19.7% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.