Race 10C

fall-pacific-coast

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lucas Woodworth 30.6% 27.9% 17.0% 10.7% 6.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sanchita Pant 2.3% 2.9% 5.1% 6.7% 7.2% 7.0% 9.1% 10.0% 8.5% 11.4% 10.8% 8.1% 5.5% 3.4% 1.8% 0.2%
Henry Boeger 29.7% 25.0% 18.9% 13.2% 7.6% 2.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mitchell Powers 0.8% 0.7% 1.5% 2.4% 3.2% 3.9% 3.8% 4.3% 4.4% 7.7% 9.2% 11.5% 14.4% 13.6% 11.6% 7.0%
Trey Summers 10.4% 11.1% 16.1% 15.9% 13.5% 11.3% 8.1% 5.7% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellie Blakemore 1.7% 2.8% 2.1% 4.2% 6.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.3% 9.6% 10.7% 11.2% 9.7% 7.7% 6.3% 3.5% 0.7%
Owen Thomas 5.1% 6.3% 6.1% 8.6% 10.1% 11.3% 10.8% 9.5% 10.3% 7.6% 6.9% 4.0% 2.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Morgana Manti 4.2% 6.0% 7.6% 9.8% 10.0% 10.7% 11.1% 11.0% 9.0% 8.0% 5.1% 4.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Blake Roberts 4.6% 4.9% 6.5% 7.2% 10.7% 10.3% 9.6% 11.1% 11.0% 7.5% 6.9% 4.9% 2.5% 2.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Ben Louttit 4.7% 5.5% 7.7% 8.8% 10.5% 10.9% 13.1% 12.4% 8.6% 5.9% 5.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Phibbs 3.1% 2.6% 4.6% 5.5% 6.3% 8.1% 8.4% 9.9% 8.6% 11.0% 10.8% 9.2% 6.6% 3.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Adrien Stroumza 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 2.4% 3.6% 5.6% 5.8% 5.8% 8.5% 9.5% 10.0% 12.0% 11.6% 10.5% 6.0% 3.3%
Jason Yang 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 2.6% 4.1% 4.6% 6.0% 6.4% 11.1% 15.4% 22.4% 20.2%
Sean Lipps 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 2.7% 3.1% 4.5% 6.4% 7.0% 8.3% 10.8% 15.1% 14.8% 11.2% 8.9%
Brayden Money 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 0.8% 0.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.4% 4.0% 4.1% 4.7% 9.3% 11.4% 16.4% 21.0% 18.9%
Ryan Giorgianni 0.1% 0.1% 0.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 2.4% 2.6% 4.1% 4.8% 7.2% 12.9% 19.8% 40.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.