Race 6A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Harrison Burton 23.4% 28.4% 21.6% 14.7% 7.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lee 44.3% 30.2% 13.8% 8.2% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Phil Holt 4.1% 5.2% 7.7% 9.7% 12.0% 15.7% 15.3% 15.4% 9.4% 4.6% 0.9%
Patrick Farrell 2.9% 5.1% 6.8% 8.7% 11.3% 13.7% 16.4% 16.1% 10.5% 7.1% 1.4%
Bill Weiland 7.2% 10.0% 14.4% 14.5% 17.2% 14.3% 10.7% 6.4% 4.2% 0.8% 0.3%
Maggie Kloote 0.1% 0.6% 0.7% 1.0% 2.3% 1.9% 2.7% 5.3% 8.8% 15.8% 60.8%
Nathaniel Walden 7.1% 8.5% 14.5% 16.4% 15.1% 14.7% 10.3% 7.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Laine Klopfenstein 1.9% 1.6% 2.3% 4.3% 5.2% 7.8% 10.5% 14.7% 18.8% 21.4% 11.5%
Charles Diamond 6.4% 7.6% 12.0% 15.2% 14.9% 14.8% 13.1% 8.3% 5.2% 2.4% 0.1%
Katy Aiello 1.4% 1.7% 3.3% 4.4% 6.7% 7.6% 11.3% 11.9% 19.8% 21.0% 10.9%
Eric Sauter 1.2% 1.1% 2.9% 2.9% 5.6% 5.3% 8.7% 13.8% 19.2% 25.6% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.