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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.45+4.93vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+4.99vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+3.91vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.45+2.10vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.40+1.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+1.16vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.54+2.51vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.79+0.61vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.74-0.62vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+0.22vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.59-1.71vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-3.85vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.18-2.17vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.14-3.03vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.05-4.11vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Roger Williams University2.4510.4%1st Place
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6.99Boston College2.568.4%1st Place
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6.91University of Miami2.328.6%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University2.4511.0%1st Place
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6.26Georgetown University2.409.8%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University2.127.4%1st Place
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9.51Fordham University1.544.7%1st Place
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8.61Cornell University1.794.8%1st Place
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8.38Brown University1.745.9%1st Place
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10.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.554.0%1st Place
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9.29Yale University1.595.2%1st Place
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8.15North Carolina State University1.786.4%1st Place
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10.83Bowdoin College1.183.4%1st Place
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10.97University of Wisconsin1.143.5%1st Place
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10.89University of Rhode Island1.052.8%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Robby Meek | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Cam Spriggs | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Matthew Elliott | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.8% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% |
| Adam Larson | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 18.4% |
| Olin Guck | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 17.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.