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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.54+8.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+4.76vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+4.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.12+3.20vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.74+3.30vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.45-0.05vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.18+3.69vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.78+0.16vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+1.27vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.79-1.48vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.05+0.01vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.59-2.73vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-3.06vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.45-7.86vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.14-3.94vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.40-9.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.46Fordham University1.544.9%1st Place
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6.76Boston College2.568.6%1st Place
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7.05University of Miami2.327.3%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University2.128.0%1st Place
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8.3Brown University1.745.8%1st Place
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5.95Roger Williams University2.4511.2%1st Place
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10.69Bowdoin College1.183.0%1st Place
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8.16North Carolina State University1.786.5%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.553.6%1st Place
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8.52Cornell University1.796.2%1st Place
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11.01University of Rhode Island1.053.1%1st Place
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9.27Yale University1.594.9%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.0%1st Place
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6.14Harvard University2.4510.2%1st Place
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11.06University of Wisconsin1.142.8%1st Place
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6.22Georgetown University2.4010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Cam Spriggs | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 14.5% |
| Adam Larson | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Elliott | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Olin Guck | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 17.8% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| Robby Meek | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 17.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.