Race 1B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Fox 37.0% 25.8% 17.9% 9.9% 5.8% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
George Halsted 3.6% 1.9% 3.4% 6.4% 7.5% 8.4% 10.3% 13.4% 13.9% 17.8% 13.4%
Natalie Sinn 10.8% 15.5% 14.0% 15.9% 13.3% 12.4% 8.9% 4.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Mike Flanigan 19.0% 21.2% 18.9% 15.8% 11.3% 7.1% 3.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Julie Griffin 4.4% 4.7% 4.9% 7.7% 9.4% 9.4% 12.0% 13.1% 13.0% 12.7% 8.7%
Adam Wenneman 4.9% 6.4% 9.1% 9.4% 10.8% 12.9% 12.9% 11.6% 9.8% 8.6% 3.6%
Ryan Millikan 7.7% 8.2% 10.8% 11.5% 12.3% 13.8% 11.4% 9.6% 7.9% 4.3% 2.5%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 3.8% 6.0% 7.2% 10.3% 11.8% 17.1% 35.7%
Davis Dolson 1.9% 2.8% 3.6% 2.9% 4.6% 5.6% 8.5% 9.4% 15.9% 18.6% 26.2%
Sean Francois 6.2% 7.4% 8.8% 9.4% 13.0% 12.4% 11.5% 12.0% 10.3% 6.9% 2.1%
Adam Flanders 2.9% 4.3% 6.8% 8.2% 8.2% 9.8% 12.3% 13.6% 13.5% 12.7% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.