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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.44+4.32vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.69+5.66vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.54+2.09vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.51+1.33vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+0.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.74vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+0.03vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-2.76vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-2.39vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia0.26+0.93vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+0.74vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.47-4.56vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.46-0.44vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.23-5.68vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.86-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
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5.09Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.33Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.74University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.0%1st Place
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6.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.61California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
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12.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Southern California1.470.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.32Northwestern University1.230.0%1st Place
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14.39University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Busch | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Diego Escobar | 14.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 11.3% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Lars Osell | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 9.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 21.1% | 15.9% |
| Luke Harris | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Emily Avey | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 25.2% | 26.9% |
| Jake Weinstein | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 22.7% | 45.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.