← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.57vs Predicted
-
2Boston University1.69+5.07vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.44+2.00vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.38+1.17vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.57+2.61vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.51-1.19vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.17vs Predicted
-
8University of Oregon-0.46+4.68vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+2.96vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.54-5.10vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles1.06-1.85vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California1.47-3.88vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-0.86+0.49vs Predicted
-
14Northwestern University1.23-5.45vs Predicted
-
15University of Virginia0.26-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.2%1st Place
-
7.07Boston University1.690.1%1st Place
-
5.0Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
-
5.17Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.570.1%1st Place
-
4.81Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
-
5.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
-
12.68University of Oregon-0.460.0%1st Place
-
11.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
4.9Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
-
9.15University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
-
8.12University of Southern California1.470.0%1st Place
-
13.49University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
-
8.55Northwestern University1.230.0%1st Place
-
11.1University of Virginia0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 15.1% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 13.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 27.0% | 26.4% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 21.1% | 22.6% | 13.9% |
| Diego Escobar | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Luke Harris | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 21.9% | 48.7% |
| Jake Weinstein | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.