Race 7A

2024-rose-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Oliver Stokke 11.5% 12.6% 13.0% 10.3% 10.4% 9.9% 9.8% 8.0% 4.5% 5.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Busch 13.5% 13.5% 11.9% 11.1% 9.8% 11.3% 9.9% 7.8% 4.7% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Madison Bashaw 10.4% 9.4% 9.6% 9.2% 9.5% 9.8% 9.9% 9.7% 9.1% 7.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Marianna Shand 2.1% 3.4% 3.5% 4.0% 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 7.9% 11.2% 11.6% 17.6% 13.7% 6.5% 1.2%
Lars Osell 3.9% 5.2% 6.4% 5.8% 7.9% 8.2% 8.3% 9.5% 12.1% 12.8% 10.2% 7.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Peter Lobaugh 12.9% 13.0% 12.8% 11.2% 11.3% 8.8% 9.1% 7.1% 5.8% 4.5% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Diego Escobar 15.5% 14.2% 13.0% 11.2% 11.9% 8.6% 8.6% 7.1% 4.5% 2.7% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Lothrop 1.4% 1.2% 1.1% 2.0% 2.9% 1.7% 3.7% 4.0% 3.8% 7.0% 11.5% 23.5% 24.2% 12.0%
Daniel Unangst 14.9% 13.0% 12.4% 13.8% 9.7% 11.2% 8.3% 7.3% 5.3% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Noah Robitshek 4.9% 5.7% 5.8% 8.1% 7.6% 8.8% 8.7% 11.0% 11.8% 11.9% 8.9% 5.2% 1.3% 0.3%
Jake Weinstein 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 7.4% 8.9% 10.0% 11.8% 15.7% 13.1% 5.0% 0.7%
Joseph Qualtier 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 1.1% 2.1% 3.7% 3.8% 12.7% 30.0% 41.2%
Alexander Kaslosas 0.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 3.2% 5.0% 12.7% 27.2% 43.4%
Luke Harris 4.6% 4.7% 5.4% 7.0% 6.4% 7.3% 8.0% 9.3% 13.0% 12.7% 12.0% 6.5% 2.6% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.