Race 8A

2024-rose-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Peter Lobaugh 13.9% 14.1% 12.6% 10.9% 11.5% 10.3% 7.7% 6.6% 5.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Busch 13.0% 13.1% 13.8% 9.6% 11.0% 10.8% 10.0% 7.4% 5.3% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Diego Escobar 15.4% 12.1% 12.4% 12.4% 10.5% 9.5% 10.1% 6.8% 5.8% 2.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Daniel Unangst 12.8% 15.8% 12.1% 12.6% 11.4% 10.6% 6.9% 7.5% 5.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Madison Bashaw 7.3% 8.1% 11.0% 10.8% 10.6% 9.4% 11.2% 9.0% 8.0% 7.2% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Noah Robitshek 5.0% 5.7% 6.1% 7.7% 6.5% 9.9% 9.1% 10.3% 10.5% 11.8% 9.1% 6.4% 1.4% 0.5%
Oliver Stokke 13.1% 12.9% 12.4% 11.1% 11.4% 8.2% 9.1% 8.8% 5.7% 4.1% 2.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Lars Osell 5.9% 5.1% 6.7% 6.6% 5.8% 8.6% 9.9% 10.5% 9.9% 10.6% 9.6% 7.5% 2.9% 0.4%
Marianna Shand 3.6% 3.0% 3.0% 4.1% 4.8% 4.6% 5.7% 7.9% 11.7% 13.5% 16.6% 13.3% 6.6% 1.6%
Luke Harris 4.0% 4.9% 3.9% 6.5% 7.4% 7.0% 7.0% 10.7% 12.0% 11.0% 12.9% 9.1% 2.7% 0.9%
Jake Weinstein 3.8% 3.0% 3.9% 4.7% 5.6% 7.4% 8.0% 8.2% 11.0% 13.1% 14.3% 10.6% 5.5% 0.9%
Connor Lothrop 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 1.9% 2.9% 2.9% 5.0% 8.1% 11.5% 25.6% 22.3% 12.9%
Alexander Kaslosas 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 2.0% 3.5% 5.6% 10.7% 27.0% 44.5%
Joseph Qualtier 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 2.6% 3.8% 6.2% 11.9% 30.3% 38.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.