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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.45+4.89vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+4.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+4.05vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.45+2.15vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.79+3.54vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.74+2.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.05+4.12vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59+1.27vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.78-0.83vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.32-2.97vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.54-1.46vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-1.91vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.40-6.78vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.18-3.30vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-5.14vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.14-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Roger Williams University2.4511.9%1st Place
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6.82Boston College2.568.8%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University2.128.2%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University2.459.9%1st Place
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8.54Cornell University1.795.5%1st Place
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8.53Brown University1.746.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Rhode Island1.053.3%1st Place
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9.27Yale University1.594.4%1st Place
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8.17North Carolina State University1.785.9%1st Place
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7.03University of Miami2.328.4%1st Place
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9.54Fordham University1.544.2%1st Place
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10.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.554.0%1st Place
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6.22Georgetown University2.409.6%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College1.183.4%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.8%1st Place
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11.04University of Wisconsin1.142.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Robby Meek | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Cam Spriggs | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Olin Guck | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 19.2% |
| Mathias Reimer | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% |
| Adam Larson | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.8% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.