Race 2B

fall-fury

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Fox 36.7% 26.1% 18.4% 9.8% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
George Halsted 3.1% 2.3% 4.0% 6.4% 6.7% 8.7% 9.2% 15.2% 12.4% 17.7% 14.3%
Ryan Millikan 5.9% 7.9% 8.1% 10.3% 13.3% 14.7% 12.2% 11.4% 8.9% 5.3% 2.0%
Mike Flanigan 18.5% 21.2% 19.1% 16.9% 10.6% 6.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam Wenneman 5.7% 7.7% 7.0% 9.7% 11.2% 12.3% 12.8% 12.4% 11.5% 6.9% 2.8%
Julie Griffin 3.6% 3.3% 6.0% 7.3% 8.1% 11.2% 13.3% 13.0% 12.7% 12.7% 8.8%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.4% 3.2% 2.8% 2.1% 4.2% 5.1% 6.2% 9.8% 13.3% 18.3% 33.6%
Sean Francois 6.1% 5.9% 8.9% 10.5% 13.1% 11.8% 13.1% 10.6% 10.1% 6.9% 3.0%
Davis Dolson 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 2.9% 4.7% 6.3% 8.8% 10.7% 13.1% 18.6% 26.5%
Adam Flanders 3.6% 3.7% 6.8% 6.7% 9.0% 10.3% 12.3% 11.9% 14.5% 12.5% 8.7%
Natalie Sinn 13.4% 15.7% 15.5% 17.4% 13.4% 10.4% 7.0% 3.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.