Race 1B

2024-rose-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Peter Joslin 21.5% 17.5% 17.4% 12.4% 9.5% 7.6% 5.9% 3.1% 2.5% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Roman 10.9% 11.3% 11.6% 9.8% 12.7% 9.1% 7.8% 7.4% 6.8% 6.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Daren Sathasivam 2.6% 2.5% 3.1% 3.6% 4.7% 2.5% 5.7% 5.5% 7.1% 8.9% 9.9% 10.6% 12.5% 9.9% 7.8% 3.1%
Max Kleha 3.3% 4.9% 4.7% 5.8% 5.5% 7.2% 7.1% 8.8% 9.0% 9.4% 9.4% 9.3% 6.9% 6.2% 1.9% 0.6%
Ben Louttit 2.9% 2.1% 3.0% 5.6% 4.6% 5.6% 5.9% 7.6% 7.7% 8.0% 10.7% 10.3% 11.4% 7.2% 6.1% 1.3%
Connor Bennett 9.2% 8.1% 10.9% 10.4% 11.4% 10.8% 8.7% 7.6% 7.6% 5.7% 4.2% 2.6% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Piper Holthus 17.8% 16.7% 14.3% 11.8% 10.6% 10.9% 6.8% 4.0% 3.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Bradley Whiteway 9.2% 12.2% 9.8% 10.2% 10.5% 9.4% 10.1% 9.7% 6.9% 4.9% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Hudson Mayfield 5.9% 8.0% 6.0% 8.6% 7.6% 9.1% 10.1% 8.8% 9.7% 6.9% 6.9% 6.1% 2.5% 2.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Reed McAllister 4.2% 3.3% 6.5% 5.0% 5.1% 6.3% 7.2% 9.3% 9.2% 11.8% 9.3% 10.0% 5.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.4%
Colin Miedler 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 2.3% 2.8% 2.5% 4.0% 4.3% 5.5% 5.0% 8.1% 8.3% 13.2% 13.7% 15.6% 8.7%
Emerson Marquez 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 3.4% 5.9% 7.8% 13.0% 57.1%
Samuel Groom 1.4% 1.6% 1.2% 1.6% 2.8% 3.4% 3.9% 4.5% 4.5% 6.3% 7.4% 9.4% 12.8% 13.1% 17.6% 8.5%
Tiare Sierra 5.8% 6.8% 5.6% 8.5% 7.8% 9.1% 9.7% 10.5% 8.9% 8.7% 6.2% 4.9% 4.5% 2.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Dylan Murphy 2.0% 1.1% 0.8% 2.4% 1.3% 2.7% 2.5% 3.0% 3.6% 6.3% 7.0% 9.2% 9.8% 16.3% 19.9% 12.1%
Grace Bray 1.3% 1.6% 2.2% 1.7% 2.3% 3.1% 3.5% 4.4% 5.7% 6.3% 9.7% 11.0% 10.5% 14.7% 13.9% 8.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.