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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+2.70vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.89+3.75vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.48+3.22vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.01+0.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.52+3.15vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44-0.94vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-0.74vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-1.61vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.25+3.29vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-0.35vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy0.74-3.58vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-0.14-2.04vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.10-3.50vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.12-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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5.75Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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4.0Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.22University of Southern California1.480.0%1st Place
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5.45Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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10.15University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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7.06Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.26St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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14.29University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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11.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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9.42California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Oregon-0.140.0%1st Place
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11.5University of Virginia0.100.0%1st Place
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11.44Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 22.0% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bennett | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.4% | 15.8% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Max Kleha | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 56.2% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 10.2% |
| Ben Louttit | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Dylan Murphy | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 11.7% |
| Colin Miedler | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 7.8% |
| Grace Bray | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.