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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+2.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+3.41vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48+3.69vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.89+1.66vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+1.82vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.01-0.67vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+3.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-0.20vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-1.12vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.80+2.83vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia-1.02+2.19vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy0.74-3.13vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.53vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.25-0.31vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-1.38-1.04vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.67-12.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.83Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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5.66Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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5.33Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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10.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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12.83Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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13.19University of Virginia-1.020.0%1st Place
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8.87California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.0%1st Place
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9.47University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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3.69Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 21.4% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 20.7% | 12.7% |
| James Unger | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 22.6% | 20.1% |
| Ben Louttit | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 21.9% | 28.0% |
| Sadie Creemer | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 21.5% | 34.7% |
| Peter Joslin | 19.9% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.