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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.89+4.45vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.83vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01+2.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67-0.35vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.48+0.79vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-1.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-0.22vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.52+0.48vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-2.07vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-0.18vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.80+0.83vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy0.74-4.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.25-0.33vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia-1.02-1.66vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-1.38-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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3.83Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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5.23Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.65Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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6.8Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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10.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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12.83Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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8.86California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.0%1st Place
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13.67University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Virginia-1.020.0%1st Place
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14.03University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Bennett | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 20.2% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 11.7% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 20.1% | 18.2% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Max Kleha | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 19.5% | 14.6% |
| Ben Louttit | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 19.0% | 21.9% | 27.0% |
| James Unger | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 19.1% | 22.1% | 20.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 23.4% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.