← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+4.36vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.48+4.63vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.52+6.46vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.01+1.21vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.44+1.86vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University0.12+4.70vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.84vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.55-4.08vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.89-3.54vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-1.96vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-0.05vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia0.10-1.09vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon-0.14-1.55vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Berkeley-1.25-0.44vs Predicted
-
15Boston College2.67-11.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.63University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
-
9.46University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
5.21Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
-
6.86Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
-
10.7Northwestern University0.120.0%1st Place
-
7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.1%1st Place
-
3.92Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
-
5.46Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
-
8.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
10.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
-
10.91University of Virginia0.100.0%1st Place
-
11.45University of Oregon-0.140.0%1st Place
-
13.56University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
-
3.64Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
| Jack Roman | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Grace Bray | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 6.7% |
| Max Kleha | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.2% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bennett | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 10.2% |
| Colin Miedler | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 8.5% |
| Dylan Murphy | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 20.9% | 13.9% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 56.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 21.3% | 20.1% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.