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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.67+2.48vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+2.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+3.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+1.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.96vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.01-1.99vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.48-1.55vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-1.61vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.80+1.97vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-0.83vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-1.38+1.16vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.25-0.05vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia-1.02-1.57vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.89-9.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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3.62Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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5.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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6.49Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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5.01Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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7.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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11.97Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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12.43University of Virginia-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.26Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Joslin | 23.3% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 20.7% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack Roman | 10.8% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 4.2% | 2.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 13.7% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Sadie Creemer | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 23.3% | 34.4% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 17.1% | 24.8% | 29.2% |
| James Unger | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 21.0% | 19.4% |
| Connor Bennett | 9.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.