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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+4.12vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.89+3.16vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01+1.90vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.67-0.51vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.55-1.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+1.52vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.44-0.58vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-0.54vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.48-2.67vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia-1.02+2.48vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.25+1.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.52-2.89vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-2.63vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-1.38-0.98vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-0.80-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.1%1st Place
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5.16Fordham University1.890.1%1st Place
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4.9Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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3.49Boston College2.670.2%1st Place
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3.79Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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6.42Boston University1.440.1%1st Place
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7.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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6.33University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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12.48University of Virginia-1.020.0%1st Place
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12.82University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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9.11University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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10.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Oregon-1.380.0%1st Place
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11.99Northwestern University-0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Whiteway | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bennett | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 21.5% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.7% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Unger | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 22.0% | 21.4% | 20.2% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 23.5% | 29.1% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Groom | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 3.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 32.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 20.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.