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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+3.04vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.03+1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.90+0.76vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.77vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.32+1.86vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.06-2.64vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.75+1.00vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.32-2.72vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.07-0.20vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-2.05-0.09vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.86-3.55vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-1.21-3.92vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-3.08-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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5.04University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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3.64Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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6.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Victoria-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.36University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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10.0Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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7.28Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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10.8University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.91Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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10.45University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Victoria-1.210.0%1st Place
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14.07University of California at Davis-3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 33.9% | 24.4% | 16.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.1% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 17.5% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lemke | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 12.7% | 5.2% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 35.4% | 21.2% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 8.2% | 2.8% |
| Anna Schroeder | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 4.9% |
| Abby Evans | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 18.2% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.