← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.59+8.03vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.40+4.01vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.56+3.33vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.74+4.01vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.45+0.79vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University1.79+1.98vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.05+3.39vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami2.32-1.17vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.45-3.13vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.54-0.90vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin1.14-0.32vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College1.18-1.74vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University1.78-5.45vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.74vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.12-8.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.03Yale University1.594.3%1st Place
-
6.01Georgetown University2.4010.9%1st Place
-
6.33Boston College2.5610.3%1st Place
-
8.01Brown University1.745.6%1st Place
-
5.79Roger Williams University2.4510.9%1st Place
-
7.98Cornell University1.796.2%1st Place
-
10.39University of Rhode Island1.052.9%1st Place
-
6.83University of Miami2.327.6%1st Place
-
5.87Harvard University2.4511.8%1st Place
-
9.1Fordham University1.544.4%1st Place
-
10.68University of Wisconsin1.142.9%1st Place
-
10.26Bowdoin College1.182.9%1st Place
-
7.55North Carolina State University1.786.7%1st Place
-
9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.5%1st Place
-
6.9Tufts University2.127.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Reimer | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Cam Spriggs | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 19.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Robby Meek | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 21.6% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 16.7% |
| Adam Larson | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.