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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+4.01vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+0.52vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77+0.70vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.03+1.40vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.90+0.81vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.32+1.20vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.06-1.69vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.07+2.77vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-2.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.86+0.32vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.32-2.03vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.75-2.81vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.21-2.75vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-3.08-0.86vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-2.05-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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2.52University of Hawaii2.380.4%1st Place
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3.7Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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5.4University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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7.2Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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10.77University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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10.32University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.97University of Victoria-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.19Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Victoria-1.210.0%1st Place
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14.14University of California at Davis-3.080.0%1st Place
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12.68Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 35.9% | 22.9% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 16.5% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 12.2% | 3.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Lemke | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Anna Schroeder | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 5.7% |
| Abby Evans | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 16.5% | 66.1% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 32.8% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.