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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.03+2.30vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77-0.29vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.15-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.32+1.83vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.32-0.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.07+1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.21+1.12vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.90-5.17vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.86-1.56vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-0.75-3.83vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-3.08-0.85vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-2.05-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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3.71Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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6.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Victoria-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.22Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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10.76University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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11.12University of Victoria-1.210.0%1st Place
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5.83University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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10.44University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
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10.17Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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14.15University of California at Davis-3.080.0%1st Place
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12.71Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 33.5% | 24.9% | 17.0% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 17.9% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lemke | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 2.7% |
| Anna Schroeder | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 5.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 2.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Abby Evans | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 15.1% | 66.7% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 33.3% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.