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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.32+6.79vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.32+4.15vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.15+1.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.34vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.73vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.03-1.63vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.77-4.28vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.750.00vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.90-5.20vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.07-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.21-1.70vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.86-3.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-3.08-0.86vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-2.05-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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8.79University of Victoria-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.15Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.34University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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6.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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5.37University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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3.72Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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10.0Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.8University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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10.8University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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11.3University of Victoria-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
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14.14University of California at Davis-3.080.0%1st Place
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12.71Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 33.5% | 24.9% | 17.3% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lemke | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 17.8% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Martha Schuessler | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 3.9% |
| Anna Schroeder | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 21.4% | 15.5% | 4.9% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 2.2% |
| Abby Evans | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 7.4% | 16.2% | 65.9% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 31.9% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.