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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+2.81vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.12vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.32+4.00vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.32+1.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.07+3.96vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-2.35vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.36-3.07vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.75-0.71vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii-0.11-3.58vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.43-3.49vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.21-2.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.86-4.48vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-2.05-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45University of Hawaii2.380.4%1st Place
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4.81University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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3.48Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Victoria-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.13Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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10.96University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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6.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Hawaii0.360.0%1st Place
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10.29Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Hawaii-0.110.0%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Victoria-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.52University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
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13.11Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 37.5% | 25.1% | 15.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 19.2% | 18.5% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.1% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lemke | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 10.9% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Gardiner Van Ness | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 6.1% |
| Kahlia Bailey | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Anna Schroeder | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 17.2% | 18.4% | 18.3% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 7.8% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 48.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.