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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.32+7.79vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+0.38vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.15-0.03vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.36-0.03vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.32-0.89vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.43+0.27vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.21+1.49vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.75-0.75vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.07-0.67vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.86-2.26vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii-0.11-6.68vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-2.05-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79University of Victoria-0.320.0%1st Place
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2.38University of Hawaii2.380.4%1st Place
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3.47Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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6.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Hawaii0.360.0%1st Place
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7.11Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Victoria-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.25Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.33University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.74University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Hawaii-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.12Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Lemke | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Erik Anderson | 38.7% | 24.6% | 16.5% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 18.0% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.5% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gardiner Van Ness | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Anna Schroeder | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 16.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 7.6% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 12.6% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 9.1% |
| Kahlia Bailey | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.