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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.03+4.48vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+0.61vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+3.95vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.48vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+5.47vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.32+2.35vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.90-2.08vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.77-5.15vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.15-4.81vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.32-3.38vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43-2.35vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.07-1.45vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.21-2.20vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-2.05-1.70vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-0.86-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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2.61University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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6.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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5.48University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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10.47Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Victoria-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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3.85Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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5.19University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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7.62Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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9.65University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.55University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Victoria-1.210.0%1st Place
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13.3Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett McAvoy | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Erik Anderson | 33.7% | 23.8% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
| Nathan Lemke | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Valerio Palamara | 17.4% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 3.3% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 20.0% | 13.1% |
| Anna Schroeder | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 19.0% | 17.1% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 48.3% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.