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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+1.64vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+4.92vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.40vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.15+1.23vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.03+0.58vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University0.32+1.57vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.32+2.31vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.90-2.05vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.75+0.52vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.77-7.13vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.86-1.21vs Predicted
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13University of Victoria-1.21-1.12vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.07-2.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.43-5.38vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-2.05-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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6.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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5.23University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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7.57Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Victoria-0.320.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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10.52Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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3.87Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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10.79University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Victoria-1.210.0%1st Place
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11.48University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.62University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.26Rutgers University-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 33.2% | 25.1% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Lemke | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Martha Schuessler | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 5.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 15.6% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 9.9% |
| Anna Schroeder | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 17.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 0.5% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 14.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Marlon Wool | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.