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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+4.18vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+3.40vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.77+0.75vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.90+1.91vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.32+4.33vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75+4.46vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.03-1.41vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.38-5.32vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-2.04vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.32-2.43vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.43-1.34vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.07-1.57vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.86-3.11vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-1.21-3.40vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-2.34-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.4University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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3.75Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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5.91University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Victoria-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.46Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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2.68University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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6.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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7.57Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.43University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.89University of California at Berkeley-0.860.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Victoria-1.210.0%1st Place
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13.6Rutgers University-2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 10.1% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 18.4% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Lemke | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 5.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 31.7% | 25.6% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.2% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 19.1% | 10.5% |
| Alexander Kaslosas | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 7.9% |
| Anna Schroeder | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 13.0% |
| Karolina Debniak | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 56.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.