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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.53+1.95vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+2.15vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.19+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.51+0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.40+0.22vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.67+1.74vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.90-1.28vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.79-0.21vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+0.05vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.90-4.05vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.36-1.92vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-2.79vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.98-2.89vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.09-12.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Hawaii1.530.3%1st Place
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4.15Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.49University of Hawaii1.190.2%1st Place
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4.89University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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9.74Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.72Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.79Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.08University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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11.21University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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3.67University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Summers | 27.1% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 12.7% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 20.0% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dale Whitmore | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 15.1% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 19.8% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Richie | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 19.7% | 15.9% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 19.8% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 20.0% | 38.3% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 17.8% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.