Race 4B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Fox 44.5% 27.9% 16.1% 7.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Natalie Sinn 15.9% 19.5% 18.2% 15.2% 11.6% 9.7% 5.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Patrick Power 9.5% 11.9% 14.7% 14.9% 13.0% 14.1% 10.0% 6.5% 3.3% 2.0% 0.1%
Sean Francois 6.1% 7.7% 9.4% 11.9% 14.3% 13.1% 12.7% 10.2% 8.2% 5.0% 1.4%
Davis Dolson 2.8% 3.0% 3.6% 5.6% 7.6% 7.3% 9.4% 11.5% 16.7% 18.7% 13.8%
Adam Wenneman 5.8% 8.7% 10.2% 12.9% 12.3% 12.8% 12.8% 10.2% 6.7% 6.0% 1.6%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.8% 3.7% 2.6% 3.7% 6.0% 6.3% 9.3% 10.6% 14.2% 22.1% 19.7%
Julie Griffin 4.9% 5.7% 8.5% 10.7% 11.2% 10.6% 12.3% 11.9% 12.0% 8.3% 3.9%
Marian Schubert 1.1% 1.1% 2.7% 1.8% 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 7.4% 10.2% 16.3% 49.4%
Adam Flanders 4.4% 6.0% 7.7% 8.7% 10.6% 10.0% 11.7% 14.8% 12.9% 9.0% 4.2%
George Halsted 3.2% 4.8% 6.3% 7.3% 7.5% 11.8% 12.4% 14.1% 14.3% 12.4% 5.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.