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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.45+4.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.12+4.91vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.45+2.74vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+3.69vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.32+1.83vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.40+0.01vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+2.58vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.79+0.04vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.74-0.87vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.54-1.02vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.18-0.97vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.59-3.32vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.56-6.61vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.14-3.35vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.05-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Harvard University2.4511.3%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University2.128.2%1st Place
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5.74Roger Williams University2.4511.8%1st Place
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7.69North Carolina State University1.786.7%1st Place
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6.83University of Miami2.328.1%1st Place
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6.01Georgetown University2.4010.3%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.734.0%1st Place
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8.04Cornell University1.795.2%1st Place
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8.13Brown University1.745.6%1st Place
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8.98Fordham University1.544.7%1st Place
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10.03Bowdoin College1.183.0%1st Place
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8.68Yale University1.595.2%1st Place
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6.39Boston College2.5610.2%1st Place
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10.65University of Wisconsin1.142.8%1st Place
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10.44University of Rhode Island1.052.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larson | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Cam Spriggs | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.9% |
| Mathias Reimer | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.0% | 21.2% |
| Olin Guck | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.