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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+3.23vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.51+2.74vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.53-1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.19-1.40vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.40-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.90-0.31vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.90-1.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-2.36+1.10vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.79-1.07vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-0.92vs Predicted
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14Rutgers University-1.67-4.39vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-3.86vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.98-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii1.530.3%1st Place
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3.6University of Hawaii1.190.2%1st Place
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5.21University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.9Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.1University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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9.93Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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9.61Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 12.8% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dale Whitmore | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 18.0% | 17.0% | 14.4% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 25.9% | 22.3% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 16.3% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Grace Richie | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 17.6% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 4.7% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 16.6% |
| Kate Faranetta | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 19.8% | 17.6% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.