← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Victoria0.51+3.67vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.09+1.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii0.40+1.95vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University0.81+0.15vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii0.61-0.43vs Predicted
-
6Rutgers University-1.67+3.68vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii1.53-4.29vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+1.90vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-0.90-2.13vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+0.23vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley-0.90-4.10vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-2.36-2.95vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University-1.79-5.24vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-2.98-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.67University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
-
3.46University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
-
4.95University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
-
4.15Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
-
4.57University of Hawaii0.610.1%1st Place
-
9.68Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
-
2.71University of Hawaii1.530.3%1st Place
-
10.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.87Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
11.23University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
-
7.9University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
-
11.05University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.76Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
-
12.09University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Whitmore | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 18.6% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 13.2% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Knobel | 8.6% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 5.2% |
| Trey Summers | 30.7% | 22.1% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 15.9% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 19.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Grace Richie | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 16.6% |
| Erin Welker | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 4.8% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 20.7% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.