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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+3.10vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.53-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.61+0.53vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.67+4.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+5.28vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.51-2.43vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.90-0.27vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+2.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.90-2.09vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.40-5.99vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.79-4.12vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.98-2.92vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.36-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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2.8University of Hawaii1.530.3%1st Place
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4.53University of Hawaii0.610.1%1st Place
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9.63Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.28University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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4.57University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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7.73Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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9.88Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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10.93University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 13.3% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 19.4% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 28.9% | 22.3% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theodore Knobel | 10.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 19.8% |
| Dale Whitmore | 10.9% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 14.8% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Malia Johnson | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Welker | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 39.9% |
| Grace Richie | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.