← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University0.81+2.60vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.09+1.06vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii-0.14+2.46vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.53-1.48vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria0.51-0.74vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii-1.22+2.14vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-1.25-1.11vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University-0.90-2.78vs Predicted
-
11Rutgers University-1.67-1.76vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-1.15vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles-2.35-2.19vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-2.91-2.07vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-2.36-4.27vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-1.79-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.6Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
-
3.06University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
-
5.46University of Hawaii-0.140.1%1st Place
-
2.52University of Hawaii1.530.3%1st Place
-
4.26University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
-
8.14University of Hawaii-1.220.0%1st Place
-
7.89University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
-
7.22Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
9.24Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
-
10.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.81University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
-
11.93University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
-
10.73University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.3Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 16.1% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 22.8% | 21.9% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Brennan | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 32.9% | 24.8% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dale Whitmore | 9.4% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Gladstone-Lamas | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Emerson Marquez | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 17.8% |
| John Gallagher | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 16.8% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 38.2% |
| Grace Richie | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 16.4% |
| Erin Welker | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.