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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.53+0.39vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81+0.61vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.51-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii-0.14-1.43vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.90-0.66vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.67-0.02vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.79-0.58vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.25-2.89vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii-1.22-3.88vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-2.20vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.35-3.21vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-2.36-4.27vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.91-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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2.39University of Hawaii1.530.3%1st Place
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3.61Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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4.17University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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5.57University of Hawaii-0.140.1%1st Place
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7.34Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.98Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.42Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Hawaii-1.220.0%1st Place
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10.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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10.79University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
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10.73University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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11.84University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 21.9% | 22.0% | 20.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 34.7% | 25.9% | 20.1% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 15.4% | 17.5% | 18.2% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dale Whitmore | 10.9% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Brennan | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| Erin Welker | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
| Emerson Marquez | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Quinn Gladstone-Lamas | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| John Gallagher | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 17.2% |
| Grace Richie | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 18.6% | 16.3% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 20.9% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.