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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.40+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.53+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+0.68vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.19-0.48vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81-0.67vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.90+1.96vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.96+2.09vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.51-4.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.25-2.33vs Predicted
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12Rutgers University-1.67-2.27vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-1.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-2.73vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.79-5.18vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.91-3.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Hawaii1.530.3%1st Place
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3.68University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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3.52University of Hawaii1.190.2%1st Place
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4.33Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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7.96Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.09University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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4.82University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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9.73Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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9.82Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malia Johnson | 8.3% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 28.3% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 18.0% | 17.4% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 17.1% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 9.9% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 8.1% |
| Dale Whitmore | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Marquez | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Kate Faranetta | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 5.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 19.2% | 19.2% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 20.3% |
| Erin Welker | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 5.4% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.