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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.53+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.51+1.79vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.19-0.45vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.81-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii0.40-0.87vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.25+1.48vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.90-0.14vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.67+0.72vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-1.79-2.03vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-1.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.35-2.87vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.96-4.75vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.91-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66University of Hawaii1.090.2%1st Place
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2.86University of Hawaii1.530.3%1st Place
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4.79University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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3.55University of Hawaii1.190.2%1st Place
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4.33Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Hawaii0.400.1%1st Place
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8.48University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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7.86Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.72Rutgers University-1.670.0%1st Place
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9.97Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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11.13University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
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10.25University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 17.3% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 27.9% | 22.1% | 17.2% | 16.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dale Whitmore | 10.0% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arden Rathkopf | 17.3% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Marquez | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Mitchell Powers | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Kate Faranetta | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 4.5% |
| Erin Welker | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 7.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 19.0% |
| John Gallagher | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 19.0% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 8.3% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 18.7% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.