Race 1B

boston-dinghy-club-challenge-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Alex Adams 4.5% 4.5% 4.3% 6.2% 5.7% 5.9% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 6.8% 7.1% 7.8% 8.8% 8.1% 5.7% 4.7%
Kevin Gosselin 5.3% 5.2% 6.2% 6.5% 5.5% 6.0% 6.1% 7.6% 6.0% 7.3% 6.9% 8.4% 7.0% 7.3% 5.1% 3.4%
Kyle Pfrang 12.0% 11.5% 11.5% 11.0% 8.9% 8.6% 7.6% 7.5% 6.5% 4.5% 3.8% 3.0% 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Piper Holthus 10.0% 10.4% 10.3% 8.2% 9.8% 9.6% 7.3% 7.3% 6.7% 6.1% 5.1% 3.8% 2.8% 1.7% 0.6% 0.4%
Peter Busch 15.2% 13.9% 12.0% 10.9% 10.4% 8.8% 7.8% 7.0% 4.7% 4.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Sarah Burn 6.2% 6.3% 6.3% 6.9% 7.1% 6.5% 8.0% 7.2% 7.0% 7.5% 7.5% 6.9% 5.0% 5.5% 4.2% 2.1%
Martins Atilla 9.5% 10.0% 8.3% 9.5% 8.3% 8.1% 8.2% 7.4% 6.9% 6.6% 5.7% 3.9% 3.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.3%
Aidan Dennis 7.0% 4.8% 5.0% 5.9% 7.0% 6.8% 7.6% 6.4% 6.3% 7.2% 8.2% 8.0% 7.6% 5.0% 4.8% 2.4%
Elizabeth Cutler 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 2.5% 3.2% 3.1% 3.5% 4.7% 4.4% 5.6% 6.4% 7.0% 8.1% 9.6% 14.6% 18.2%
Winborne Majette 7.5% 8.5% 8.9% 8.3% 7.5% 7.6% 8.2% 7.4% 7.5% 6.9% 6.0% 5.1% 4.7% 3.2% 1.4% 1.0%
Max Katz-Christy 3.0% 3.9% 4.4% 5.1% 5.2% 4.7% 5.0% 5.5% 6.7% 7.0% 7.5% 7.1% 7.7% 10.4% 9.1% 7.7%
Isabella du Plessis 4.0% 4.1% 4.5% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.6% 5.3% 7.1% 6.1% 7.1% 8.8% 9.9% 8.0% 8.0% 5.5%
Connor Rosow 4.0% 4.0% 4.2% 3.8% 4.6% 5.4% 6.2% 5.1% 6.4% 6.9% 7.3% 7.9% 8.5% 9.6% 9.2% 7.2%
Marissa Tegeder 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.2% 3.0% 3.3% 4.0% 4.5% 6.0% 6.9% 8.1% 10.5% 13.8% 26.9%
Declan Botwinick 5.0% 5.7% 5.5% 4.7% 6.0% 7.0% 5.5% 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 7.2% 7.2% 7.2% 6.8% 6.6% 4.2%
Shea McGrath 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 3.4% 2.8% 4.3% 3.2% 5.1% 5.5% 5.0% 6.2% 6.9% 8.9% 10.2% 14.8% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.