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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.47+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.67+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+5.62vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+6.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+2.94vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.39-0.78vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+1.52vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09+2.30vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.59-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-0.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.09-0.03vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43+0.70vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.01-2.33vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.12-3.93vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.79+2.96vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.07-0.84vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+2.41vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-1.52-0.79vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-0.64-6.08vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.81-1.52vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.91+1.22vs Predicted
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22University of California at Irvine-1.70-4.36vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-3.72vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay-2.80-2.38vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-2.31-4.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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4.35University of Southern California1.670.2%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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10.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Southern California1.390.1%1st Place
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8.52California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.1%1st Place
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10.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.0%1st Place
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7.94Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.0%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Santa Barbara-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.7University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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17.96Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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15.16University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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19.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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17.21University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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12.92University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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18.48Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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22.22University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
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17.64University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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19.28University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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21.62California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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20.1University of California at Los Angeles-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 17.4% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Collins | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sanchita Pant | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% |
| Emma Feasey | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Bailly | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 35.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Annika Altman | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 19.8% | 25.6% |
| John Flanagan | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.