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📊 Prediction Accuracy
48.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.47+3.78vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+6.50vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.67+1.42vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09+6.23vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.39+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.07+9.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.01+3.82vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+2.94vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.59-1.12vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-1.44vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.43+1.54vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-1.97vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.12-2.92vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.09-2.96vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.64-1.89vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-8.31vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.31+3.14vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.81+0.31vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.79-1.18vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-0.49vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-1.37vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-2.80-0.54vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-1.70-5.16vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-1.52-6.88vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.91-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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8.5University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Southern California1.670.2%1st Place
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10.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Southern California1.390.1%1st Place
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15.36University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.82University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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10.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.88Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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8.56California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.1%1st Place
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12.54University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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10.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.0%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Santa Barbara-0.090.0%1st Place
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13.11University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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20.14University of California at Los Angeles-2.310.0%1st Place
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18.31Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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17.82Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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19.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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19.63University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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21.46California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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17.84University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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17.12University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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21.92University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 16.0% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 17.6% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 13.3% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Collins | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Flanagan | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 12.5% |
| William Bailly | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 7.9% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 8.4% |
| Annika Altman | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 25.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Emma Feasey | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.