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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.47+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.67+2.39vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+7.94vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+4.57vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.39+0.27vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.43+6.57vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.59+1.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.07+7.37vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09+1.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.09+1.14vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.64+2.42vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-4.00vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.12-2.91vs Predicted
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14California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-5.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.01-4.65vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-6.30vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.06+2.34vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-1.70-0.07vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.79-1.22vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.91+1.95vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-2.31-0.57vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09-2.88vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.81-4.67vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-1.52-6.88vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay-2.80-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77University of Southern California1.470.2%1st Place
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4.39University of Southern California1.670.2%1st Place
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10.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Southern California1.390.1%1st Place
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12.57University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.25Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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15.37University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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10.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.090.0%1st Place
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13.42University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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10.09University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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8.48California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.1%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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9.7University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.0%1st Place
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19.34University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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17.93University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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17.78Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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21.95University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
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20.43University of California at Los Angeles-2.310.0%1st Place
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19.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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18.33Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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17.12University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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21.62California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 16.4% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 17.5% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 13.0% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jack Phibbs | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rory Collins | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 7.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 30.7% |
| John Flanagan | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 13.5% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% |
| William Bailly | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Annika Altman | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 18.9% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.