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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.67+3.21vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.47+2.93vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.39+2.22vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+4.53vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.07+10.40vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.43+6.50vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+4.06vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.59+0.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-1.36vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.50-1.43vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.09-0.79vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.12-1.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.17-3.11vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.09-3.03vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.01-4.70vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.79+2.09vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.09+2.43vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-0.64-4.60vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.31+0.64vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.81-1.45vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.52-3.43vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-2.93vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine-1.70-5.11vs Predicted
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24California State University Monterey Bay-2.80-2.28vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.91-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of Southern California1.670.2%1st Place
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4.93University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Southern California1.390.1%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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15.4University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.5University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.08Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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7.64University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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8.57California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.1%1st Place
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10.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.090.0%1st Place
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10.25University of California at Los Angeles0.120.0%1st Place
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9.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.170.0%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Santa Barbara-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.3University of California at Irvine-0.010.0%1st Place
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18.09Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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19.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.090.0%1st Place
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13.4University of California at Berkeley-0.640.0%1st Place
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19.64University of California at Los Angeles-2.310.0%1st Place
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18.55Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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17.57University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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19.07University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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17.89University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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21.72California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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21.89University of California at Davis-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Winsor | 20.2% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Matteo Bassi | 13.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Phibbs | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sanchita Pant | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Baker-Berry | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rory Collins | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Camden Wacha | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| lucas kaemmerer | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 7.9% |
| Ethan Lisle | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Flanagan | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% |
| William Bailly | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Emma Feasey | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 7.5% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Annika Altman | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 28.4% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.