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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+2.61vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.64+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis0.57+2.18vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.35+1.94vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+2.27vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.10+1.61vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-2.52+10.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+6.36vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23+3.41vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.66-0.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-2.14+5.45vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.25+0.40vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-7.80vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.53-0.83vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.90-4.43vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.35+1.13vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-0.74vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.69+0.02vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-5.75vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.98-0.19vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.58-3.20vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-1.64-8.09vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine-2.22-6.53vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay-2.99-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of Southern California1.480.2%1st Place
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3.15California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.3%1st Place
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5.96University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Davis0.570.1%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.350.1%1st Place
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8.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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18.92Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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15.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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13.41University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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10.71University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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17.45University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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13.4University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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14.17Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.57University of California at Santa Cruz-0.900.0%1st Place
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18.13University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
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17.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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19.02University of California at Los Angeles-2.690.0%1st Place
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14.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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20.81University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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18.8Arizona State University-2.580.0%1st Place
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14.91University of California at San Diego-1.640.0%1st Place
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17.47University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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20.46California State University Monterey Bay-2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 21.0% | 20.4% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 25.8% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 8.9% |
| Liam Williams | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Emerson Marquez | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Blake Roberts | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Meyers | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| John Gallagher | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 25.0% |
| Alexander Ng | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% |
| Emma Kalway | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Philip Yang | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.