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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+4.37vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.70+6.91vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.25+6.86vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+4.03vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93+3.20vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.03+0.59vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.58-2.15vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.80+0.87vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.20-2.82vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.51-0.48vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.13+0.38vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-2.48vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.57-4.42vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.96-7.00vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.73-4.02vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.36-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Roger Williams University2.4012.9%1st Place
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8.91Yale University1.704.5%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.253.7%1st Place
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8.03Harvard University1.905.9%1st Place
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8.2University of Miami1.935.3%1st Place
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6.59Brown University2.039.0%1st Place
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4.85Boston College2.5815.7%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island1.805.2%1st Place
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6.18Georgetown University2.2010.0%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University1.513.9%1st Place
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11.38Fordham University1.132.6%1st Place
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9.52North Carolina State University1.093.2%1st Place
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8.58North Carolina State University1.575.5%1st Place
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7.0Cornell University1.968.0%1st Place
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10.98Bowdoin College0.732.8%1st Place
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12.16University of Wisconsin0.361.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Martins Atilla | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.8% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 17.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Shea McGrath | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.