Race 6B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Natalie Sinn 11.8% 15.4% 18.6% 18.2% 14.5% 10.7% 6.2% 2.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Fox 41.1% 25.4% 16.5% 10.6% 4.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mike Flanigan 19.9% 24.4% 20.5% 14.6% 11.3% 5.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
George Halsted 2.0% 3.7% 4.7% 6.2% 7.1% 10.4% 13.0% 13.4% 16.6% 13.8% 9.1%
Julie Griffin 4.6% 4.5% 6.6% 8.9% 10.2% 13.7% 12.6% 13.1% 12.8% 8.8% 4.2%
Adam Wenneman 5.5% 7.6% 9.9% 11.7% 12.6% 14.4% 13.2% 10.7% 7.7% 5.3% 1.4%
Magdalena Franze-Soeln 1.9% 3.3% 2.7% 2.6% 4.6% 6.4% 10.0% 12.2% 13.9% 21.6% 20.8%
Davis Dolson 2.8% 2.1% 2.7% 5.5% 7.4% 10.0% 10.5% 13.1% 15.2% 17.3% 13.4%
Sean Francois 5.9% 7.5% 9.4% 11.3% 14.6% 12.3% 13.1% 12.1% 7.6% 4.0% 2.2%
Adam Flanders 3.6% 5.3% 6.5% 8.3% 10.1% 12.1% 12.0% 14.3% 14.9% 8.9% 4.0%
Marian Schubert 0.9% 0.8% 1.9% 2.1% 3.4% 3.3% 5.4% 7.6% 9.8% 19.9% 44.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.