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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+1.27vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.90+0.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.72vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-1.14+0.04vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.75-1.45vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27University of Hawaii1.150.3%1st Place
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2.51University of Hawaii0.900.2%1st Place
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2.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.3%1st Place
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5.06University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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5.04University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.55Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.28University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 33.0% | 30.1% | 20.6% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 24.7% | 26.6% | 29.1% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 31.2% | 28.8% | 25.1% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 16.1% | 27.8% | 29.7% | 13.4% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 17.0% | 25.6% | 30.2% | 13.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.7% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 25.3% | 25.7% | 21.5% | 7.2% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.