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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-1.13+3.92vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.34vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.15-0.74vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.75+0.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-1.14+0.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.90-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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2.34University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.3%1st Place
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2.26University of Hawaii1.150.3%1st Place
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4.62Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.06University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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2.46University of Hawaii0.900.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 18.0% | 25.8% | 27.8% | 12.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 28.5% | 31.4% | 23.7% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 33.5% | 26.6% | 24.5% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.6% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 24.7% | 26.9% | 22.7% | 7.0% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.2% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 15.7% | 26.6% | 29.8% | 14.1% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 17.4% | 65.6% |
| Martha Schuessler | 27.6% | 25.9% | 26.9% | 13.7% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.