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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.90+1.54vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.30vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.15-0.73vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.06vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75-0.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.14-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Hawaii0.900.3%1st Place
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2.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.3%1st Place
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2.27University of Hawaii1.150.3%1st Place
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5.06University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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4.55Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.37University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 25.3% | 27.1% | 25.4% | 14.8% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 31.0% | 29.1% | 23.9% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 32.7% | 27.2% | 25.3% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 17.7% | 24.7% | 31.5% | 13.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 25.4% | 27.3% | 20.4% | 7.4% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 67.3% |
| Victoria Chen | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 26.1% | 29.3% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.