← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.15+1.26vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii0.90+0.50vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.71vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley-1.14+1.08vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-0.75-0.41vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.98vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.26University of Hawaii1.150.3%1st Place
-
2.5University of Hawaii0.900.2%1st Place
-
2.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.3%1st Place
-
5.08University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
-
4.59Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
5.02University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
-
6.27University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 32.8% | 30.2% | 21.4% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Martha Schuessler | 25.0% | 26.7% | 29.1% | 13.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 31.1% | 29.1% | 24.7% | 10.8% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.2% | 3.7% | 7.7% | 15.9% | 25.9% | 30.4% | 14.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 24.9% | 27.0% | 20.8% | 8.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 18.6% | 24.4% | 31.4% | 12.4% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 64.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.