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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+0.85vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.40+0.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.12+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.40vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.79+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-3.32-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85University of Hawaii1.090.5%1st Place
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2.51University of Hawaii0.400.2%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.120.1%1st Place
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3.6University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.14Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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5.35University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Los Angeles-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 49.2% | 27.7% | 14.6% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 23.3% | 31.2% | 24.7% | 14.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Cristina Jackson | 13.0% | 19.8% | 28.5% | 23.4% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 9.5% | 13.6% | 19.7% | 30.3% | 19.1% | 7.1% | 0.7% |
| Erin Welker | 2.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 12.1% | 28.7% | 33.6% | 13.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 10.7% | 26.0% | 37.6% | 16.6% |
| Nitsa Thotz | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 7.9% | 16.8% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.